Real Estate Market Timing,Psychology and Analysis

By
Real Estate Agent - REMAX real estate associates
A commentary and analysis on market psychology and timing. Being a Remax owner for 20 years and selling real estate for over 30 years, I have followed the markets closely. Along with Elliott wave theory and various indicators I have called the top in 1987 and the bottom in 1991/92 along with the top in 2005. I am now predicting a probable bottom here in 2009 in our local Bergen County New Jersey markets along with ideas on our national markets.

ARCHIVED BLOG POSTS

2009 

March crude Oil, we missed our buy at $39.00 by .10. We wait till the next calling. SPH09 stock index future.  We were long from 800 and 835.  We sold our 2 units of SPH09 or ESH09 the mini's at 860 today. I had orginally had the orders at 1 at 860 and 1 at 880 but changed them on the last update...
Posted about 5 years ago
March crude Oil, we missed our buy at $39.00 by .10. We wait till the next calling. SPH09 stock index future.  We are still long from 800 and 835, current market is in the low 840's.  We will sell both at $860 . Treasury 10 Year Notes, In the last update, we were short one TYH09 at 126'15, for no...
Posted about 5 years ago
Hillsdale NJ Sales Report for 2008 shows, 73 residential units vs 68 in 2007. Total sales of $39,515,900 in 2008 vs 39,313,698. This is the 1st up year in four. These are all Brokers sales, reported to NJMLS in Bergen County New Jersey. Average Median price has declined 13.51 from high year in 20...
Posted about 5 years ago
In our last update I said,"  Lets buy March crude at $39.00 for one unit for now. I missed selling short the $50 handles on Feb crude, I guess I got lazy and didn't go for it." Well believe it we missed the buy by .10cents it hit $39.10 yesterday and turned up. That's the price of playing in the ...
Posted over 5 years ago
We are looking at March Crude now for the mini's that would be QMH09. Feb is going out really low in the $36 handle right now. Last month expiration found the front month 15% or so below back month and then the new month continued to fill the gap down.  Lets buy March crude at $39.00 for one unit...
Posted over 5 years ago
River Vale, Bergen County New Jersey sales analysis of homes sold in 2008. The data shows a decline of 28.28% in over all sales volume from high year. Average sales price declines from high year by only 9.53%,while median price declines by only 11.49 percent from high year. Data source is NJMLS a...
Posted over 5 years ago
Old Tappan, Bergen County New Jersey sales analysis of homes sold in 2008. The data shows a decline of 30.5% in over all sales volume from high year. Average sales price declines from high year by only 5.39%,while median price declines by only 9.55 percent from high year. The growth of larger hom...
Posted over 5 years ago
We sold our 2 units of February Crude at $42.50. We remain flat waiting a new signal.  We made a small profit averaged 1 1/2 dollars, still 15% or so on margin. I got out a little too soon maybe, we could of made more. But a profit is good, we will make more on the next trade. SPH09 stock index f...
Posted over 5 years ago
Saddle River, Bergen County New Jersey Sales report for 2008 covering Broker sales as reported by the NJMLS. Over all dollar volume has decline over 40%, Unit sales over 50%. Median price declined only 2% form 2007 high year. However, average sales price has hit a new high in price. Saddle River ...
Posted over 5 years ago
Woodcliff lake, Bergen County New Jersey, has shown sale volume decline, almost 45% while average price decline from high year less then 15%. This is considerably less than most areas of the country. The median price decline 11%. See chart and report on Woodcliff lake sales. Year     Units    Tot...
Posted over 5 years ago
Rainmaker
170,289

Richard Stabile

Bergen County New Homes Builder Realtor
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