February 16, 2009 Predictions - The party's over...

By
Real Estate Agent with HER Realtors

Cupcakes

February 16, 2009 Predictions of ActiveRain's demise...  The party is over...

Do you remember that day? Where were you on February 16, 2009? A member of ActiveRain? A member who read but did not post yet? Not yet a member? Had not yet discovered ActiveRain... ? 

On February 16, 2009 you woke up. If you were a member maybe you read ActiveRain's dashboard and saw a post from Brad. Brad Andersohn an ActiveRain employee made an announcement. What did you hear?

"The Party's over"

or were you an ActiveRain member and  blogging so what the announcement on February 16, 2009 meant Brad was  saying

"Let's get this Party started, thanks for getting here on time" I got here in 2006. I started blogging a week or so after I joined."

Do you remember February 16, 2009?

I wrote  "Bye - Bye ActiveRain"  in 2010 about the Predictions of WHO was going to be the next ActiveRain now that ActiveRain, a business  was charging some* members for some services.  

*Some members... on February 16,  2009 that was future members. Are you a member that joined after February 16, 2009? How about since February 16, 2010? Welcome. Glad to know you!!!

The party is over predictions

Who was going to be yelling "FREE party on our platform" to the real estate industry starting February 16, 2009? 

Who was looking in his crystal ball last year and teaching real estate professionals about the web?  Where to be on the Web.

"Key Yessaad – Real Estate Trainings and Internet Strategies."

Said to watch Broker Agent Social, RealTown and others...  Yessaad also said  "Trulia" but that's is really cockamamy to me.

February 16, 2009 Predictions of ActiveRain's demise...

In 2009 real estate Social Network guru?  Educator? Key Yessaad  predicted great things in the future for RealTown...

In February  2010 I recapped where we were after nearly a year from the 2009 predictions of Key Yessaad: 

"Today 173,664 is the count.  Of course that does not tell the whole story.  Have active ActiveRain members moved on?  Yes some have.  Have new members joined?  You betcha.   Did ActiveRain die in 2009? Nope.

Who was going to increase because of this?  Trulia and RealTown...  (he forecasted the demise of Zillow too. Zillow had a record traffic month in January), yesterday was Zillow's 4th birthday.  Happy Birthday Zillow

So Goodbye Activerain and hello Trulia, RealTown, Broker Agent Social, Condo, and a Greater Town!!!

Is the page forecasting the demise of ActiveRain part of Broker Agent Social?

Anyone know what Condo is? 

How about  "a Greater Town?"

The ActiveRain 2011 celebration party - It's members not traffic

January 17, 2011 ActiveRain announced... 200,000 members....  the confetti fell from the sky in little raindrop shapes...  pretty latex balloons with rain drops and the initials AR on them splashed against beautiful sunny blue skies....   a flock of Twitter bluebirds spelled out #AR200K  

Did you miss that party?

Look at site traffic on Compete.com for ActiveRain and each of the companies that Key Yessaad predicted rosy futures for in February 2009.

OK here's a graph comparing Broker Agent Social with ActiveRain on traffic (not members):

Compete.com updates these graphs.  When you look at this in the future, perhaps Broker Agent Social will be kicking butt. 

2010 (January through December)

Broker Agent Social  -10.69% (but they had an excellent December... up 23% or something like that.)

ActiveRain +9.78% in 2010. The graph updates. Come back and keep an eye on ActiveRain this year. Growing? Shrinking?

Watch it ActiveRain... at that pace.... the party will be over in 2025 (?)

balloons ginsnob

On February 16, 2009  Key Yessaad  of Broker Agent Social predicted : "So today we breakup with Activerain; what a shame - she used to be so much fun...*"

I want to... 

cry if I want to..

cry if I want to..

you would cry too if it happened to you.

There is a gender thing there that is unsettling Cynthia Bartch brought it up in February 2010... does ActiveRain have a gender? Don't miss the next party...

It's my party and I'll cry if

Member of the real estate industry but not yet a member of ActiveRain? Join It's FREE.

Photo credits the num num cupcake photo is from clevercupcakes Princess Emma's Birthday Cupcakes and the balloons are from ginsnob on Flickr. Both photos are licensed with a Creative Commons license which allows me to share them with you here. Thank you to both clevercupcakes and ginsnob.

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This post provided by Maureen McCabe HER Realtors*

Contact Maureen McCabe of HER Realtors* - 614.388.8249

HER Realtors  Maureen McCabe

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*Real Living HER

Information is deemed to be accurate but should be verified to your satisfaction.  Information provided herein is supplied by several sources and is subject to change without notice.  Opinions expressed are solely those of Maureen McCabe.

 


 

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I've felt the buzz of Active Rain being a thriving community since day one.  I got off to a slow start, but once I committed, there's been no turning back.  I think the blog is great, especially knowing the dates certain things happened.  That's really great.  Love the chart.  AR rules!

February 16, 2011 07:06 AM #3
Rainmaker
158,876
Tony Morganti
RE/MAX Crossroads in Cuyahoga Falls and Stow, Ohio - Cuyahoga Falls, OH
CRS, ABR - Cuyahoga Falls, Stow

Maureen - As a one time active member of Broker Agent Social I can say there is NO comparison to AR.  I have not been on the Broker Agent site for well over a year......I may need to revisit........but back then I just did not see much benefit.  Once I got more involved in Active Rain ( in part, due to your encouragement back in December) I find myself signing on and participating every day.  Long live ActiveRain.  

February 16, 2011 07:07 AM #4
Rainer
50,005
Rob Smith
Rob Smith Property Investigations - Jefferson City, MO

Good Morning Maureen.  Thanks for the history lesson!  Party On!!

February 16, 2011 07:21 AM #5
Rainmaker
765,167
Mike Jaquish
Realty Arts - Cary, NC
919-880-2769 Cary, NC, Real Estate

Managing growth is AR's largest problem, I think, and mostly from a delivery standpoint from time to time.

And it is a problem that many poseurs envy.

February 16, 2011 07:25 AM #6
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

Here's Brad's announcement on February 16, 2009.  New RainMaker Membership Plan It's got 700 +/- commments.  It can open very, very slow. 

 

February 16, 2011 07:43 AM #7
Rainer
184,535
Arleen Montford
KELLER WILLIAMS REALTY GULF COAST - Pace, FL
Selling NW Florida Homes in Pace/Milton/Pensacola FL

Good Morning Maureen, I was not active with ActiveRain until this Nov. It was nice to ready the history of ActiveRain.

February 16, 2011 08:22 AM #8
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

Arleen Had you not heard of ActiveRain before?  I am always surprised that people in 2007, 2008 were not aware of ActiveRain. 

Of course many were and just hoped it would go away...

February 16, 2011 08:33 AM #9
Rainmaker
262,418
Jack Mossman - The Nines Team in Lodi
The Nines Team at Keller Williams - Lodi, CA
The Nines Team in Lodi

Maureen ... now be nice ... in 2007 and 2008 I had finally decided that email was no longer a phase!  Technology moves slowly through me!  I admit with joy ... that since becoming active on ActiveRain I find technology is a lot easier to deal with .... may be because I'm involved with it everyday? 

February 16, 2011 10:39 AM #10
Rainmaker
409,641
Michelle Francis
Tim Francis Realty LLC - Atlanta, GA
Realtor, Buckhead Atlanta Homes for Sale & Lease

Maureen, 

Who knew, the party was over before I even got here.  It works for me.  There will be the next and future platforms, but not sure that AR will go away.  I see more it EVOLVING....

Loved the history lessons:-)

All the best, Michelle

February 16, 2011 10:47 AM #11
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

Jack did you know of ActiveRain in 2007, 2008?  Those who predicted the demise of ActiveRain (and Zillow) wanted something else to be the next largest real estate network.

A big real estate social media guru who shall remain nameless is now an advertiser on ActiveRain... everytime I see her mug in that top slot looking out at us I remember her saying "The door has closed on ActiveRain"  or something like that in order to promote some other real estate blogs.  Because ActiveRain was charging there was no reason to become a member... 

She may not remain nameless.

Michelle you weren't here?  I would have thought you were.

February 16, 2011 10:53 AM #12
Rainmaker
360,264
Bob Jakowinicz
National Realty Centers Livonia--Bob Jakowinicz - Livonia, MI
734-578-6561 - Michigan Real Estate Agent

Been here for a few years now but really getting much more involvement than I did in the past.  Above all I am still learning and always growing from this site.   Others will come and go but this one will be here for awhile in my opinion

February 16, 2011 12:24 PM #13
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

Thanks Bob Perhaps someday ActiveRain will be the Myspace of the real estate industry rather than the Facebook of the real estate industry... or is ActiveRain the blogger.com (still plenty of blogs there not growing in leaps and bounds but not imploding) of the real estate industry?    I don't have a crystal ball. Those who predicted the party was over  for ActiveRain in 2009 wonder what they are predicting now.

February 16, 2011 12:44 PM #14
Ambassador
1,434,339
Jennifer Fivelsdal
JFIVE Home Realty LLC | 845-758-6842|162 Deer Run Rd Red Hook NY 12571 - Rhinebeck, NY
Mid Hudson Valley real estate connection

Maureen I am glad the party is not over I have enjoyed being a part of the network.   So happy to see how the management team is always implement new stuff to keep the site relevant.

February 16, 2011 07:02 PM #15
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

Jennifer I think the party will go on because I believe there is value and you are right it is relevant.  I read Brad Andersohn's post yesterday about his 4 year anniversary on AR and went to read his first post and commented there instead of just joining in congratulating him on 4 years on the featured post. 

There is a gold mine of older content here.   Some of it gets dated, technology goes on but one post builds on another. 

February 17, 2011 06:45 AM #16
Rainmaker
171,739
Cynthia Bartch
Home Stager/Property Stylist & more! Granville, Ohio - Granville, OH
Redesigned Spaces; All Round Nice Gal

Maureen, you're spot on, there is a wealth of intel here.

Boy you have good memory....when someone stated AR as being her I think of AR being ambiguous in it's orientation going back and forth and in between.

The email I sent via AR to you bounced back to me.

February 17, 2011 10:26 AM #17
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

I just realized Key Yessaad had to be a member....  and he was / is of course. He only Re-Blogged a few times since he posted similar predictions there and did not stay Grandfathered when they asked people to post publicly last summer.

http://activerain.com/blogsview/937510/real-estate-social-networking-websites-must-learn-from-activerain-s-announcement-

Interesting conversation in 2009, Brad and Rich were still employees.

Yessaad predicts in the comments  there that Zolve.com blogs will flourish. Zolve.com is still around but I don't think they've got blogs anymore. And I think there he says Zillow will do OK but on Broker Agent Social he was saying Zillow would fail too but Trulia would flourish.

February 17, 2011 04:32 PM #18
Rainmaker
969,782
Gary L. Waters, Broker Owner Waters Realty of Brevard, LLC
Waters Realty of Brevard, LLC - Melbourne, FL
Personal Service, always.

Been here four years next month...I have always been one to be the last to leave any party. I will let you know when it truly is over! :)

February 18, 2011 08:50 AM #19
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

email me when it's over Gary so I have the sense to go home.... thanks

February 18, 2011 09:10 AM #20
Ambassador
1,328,942
Jon Zolsky, Daytona Beach, FL
Daytona Condo Realty, 386-405-4408 - Daytona Beach, FL
Selling Daytona paradise for heavenly good prices

Maureen,

For me that was a history lesson. I was on AR, but I either did not notice it, or forget about the  predictions.

I think predictions are the most fascinating business at the time of predictions. It is not that often that people would remember the  predictions, no matter how bold they were, like you did here.

February 18, 2011 07:44 PM #21
Rainmaker
1,391,363
Maureen McCabe
HER Realtors - Columbus, OH
Columbus Ohio Real Estate

I did not know these particular predicitions until last year. I can't remember how I found them really.  I did not find them on ActiveRain. Duh!  

I know there were posts on AcitiveRain predicting THE END of ActiveRain as we know it.

I have never heard of him, Key Yessad.  I have heard of Broker Agent Social.  It used to be just "Broker Agent", it was spam in our email masquerading as education.  It went social just like everything else in 2006?  2007?

The comments on Brad's post announcing the changes are interesting.  Who thought the fact that AR was charging was a death knell?... who said we'll see. Who said "they oughta charge $___ instead" really interesting two years later.  There are 7000 + comments though... that's crazy and the other day it opened really slow.  

The comments on Key Yessad's AR post   http://activerain.com/blogsview/937510/real-estate-social-networking-websites-must-learn-from-activerain-s-announcement-  are interesting too.  Way less than 700.  Brad and Rich who were employees at the time.  

I know real estate educator and social media guru Amy Chorew said in a class in 2009 or 2010  that ActiveRain was over because of fees. She was selling another blogging platform.

February 19, 2011 07:09 AM #23
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