On November 19th I will be invited to vote in my first British Columbia Municipal Election. As a registered voter, I qualify to place my vote or X beside the 1-Mayor (5 Candidates) and 8-City Councilor's (42 Candidates) who I deem will best represent my needs over the next 3 years.
That is correct - 42 excellent candidates have allowed their names to stand in a bid to be my elected officials. And therein lies my dilemma. Not being a statistician - I am unable to compute the variables available whith so many persons running and each registered and eligible voter being given 8 choices. In my mathematical jumble of comprehension I am able to deduce the most popular candidate may take seats 1, 2 and 3 ... but then name familiarity or alphabetical listings may come into play.
Given a list of 42 names, and the encouragement to select 8 - what are the chances that the 8 best candidates will rise to the top? It boggles my mind to try and figure it out.. but I cannot help but reason it may be the 2nd or 3rd tier candidate that will win - as the top contenders will be split amongst family and friends, whilst the 'he'd be OK, or I saw her sign on the boulevard' candidates may be everyone's 6th or 7th choice - thereby making them the 'popular' vote.
So who wins? Maybe the mediocre candidate? Or the one who spends the most time DRIVING THE VOTE?