Albuquerque Real Estate Report for October 2012

By
Real Estate Agent with eXp Realty

It was good month for Albuquerque real estate sales, at least in terms of total sales, rebalancing of inventory and market time for the properties that sold.

 

Albuquerque Real Estate Sales in October

Please take a second to look at the key below. Light green bars are the active listings and represent the homes that were for sale, the dark green bars are the homes that closed, and the number indicated by the triangles are the homes that were in pending status during October that had not closed.

Albuquerque Real Estate Stats for October 2012

Year Over Year Stats

Let's look first at the year over year numbers, meaning let's compare October 2012 with October 2011.

It's important to look at year over year stats because the Albuquerque real estate market is cyclical in nature. Home sales almost always follow the same pattern over the course of a year. They start off slow, then they build up momentum as the summer approaches, peaking in the  summer, then declining as we approach the Holidays. Comparing sales from one month to the next reflects this trend and can lead to false conclusions. 

Here is a quick summary of the year over year stats:

  • Active listings were down from 3,192 to 2,791, a decrease of 12.6%
  • Closed home sales were up from 437 to 538, an increase of 23.1%
  • Pending home sales, those homes that went into pending status during October and were not yet closed, were up 25.6%

Those are all very good numbers for the Albuquerque real estate market, which is struggling to recover and make consistent, sizeable gains on pricing.


Month to Month Stats

Using the same chart above, it's interesting to look at month to month stats to see what conclusions can be drawn. To do this let's compare October 2012 real estate stats with September 2012 real estate stats. As I mentioned before, typically this time of year the market is beginning to slow down. It's not unusual to see a decline in sales and a slight increase in active listings. Here us a quick summary of the month to month stats:

  • Active listings were down from 2,817 to 2,791 a decrease of 0.9%
  • Closed home sales were up from 522 to 538, an increase of 3.1%
  • Pending sales were up from 532 to 545, an increase of 2.4%

It looks like October was a very good month in comparison to September, with at leat modest improvements in all three areas.

 

Albuquerque Real Estate Prices

The stats look good then for the Albuquerque real estate market in terms of total sales and rebalancing of inventory, but what about home prices. When we talk about recovery, isn't this what we're really looking for, consistent improvement in the average sales price ? Did it show improvement in October?

Unfortunately, the answer is no. Here are the details:

  • The average sales price declined from $196,000 in October 2011 to $192,000 in October 2012, a 2% year over year decrease. 
  • The average sales price declined from $200,000 in September 2012 to $192,000 in October 2012, a 4% month to month decrease.

 

Final Thoughts

There are two more stats that bode well for the Albuquerque real estate market: 

  • Market time, the average number of days it takes for a home to get an offer and enter escrow improved considerably, going from 79 days last October to 63 days this October.
  • Foreclosure inventory is down.
The market does appear to be on the path to recovery, we've been experiencing a consistent upturn in sales for a year now. At some point, with home sales increasing and home inventory decreasing, improvement in real estate values will occur. In fact, over the last 6 months there have been months that showed small increases. But it won't be until we see several consecutive months of improved sales then we'll know the real recovery is here.
 
(These numbers are for the city of Albuquerque, not the Albuquerque Metro Area. Please check back over the coming days for Rio Rancho, Corrales and East Mountain stats).
 
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I'm a real estate stats junkie, are you? Please visit my Albuquerque Real Estate Stats blog for market reports for the individual MLS areas of Albuquerque.
 
To learn more about the cyclical nature of the Albuquerque Real Estate market and to understand when the best time to sell your house might be, please watch this one minute video called "What is the best month to list my home for sale:"
 
 

 
Don't you deserve to work with a Realtor who understands the real estate market? Contact me, Rich Cederberg, by calling or texting (505) 803-5012.
 
These real estate stats were provided by the Greater Albuquerque Association of Realtors and the Southwest MLS on November 7, 2012.
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Rainmaker
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Christine McDaniel
Red Key Realty Leaders - Crown Point, IN
Broker Associate

Interesting Rich.  I'm seeing the same sort of stats in our area.  The home sales are up but prices are down.

Nov 07, 2012 09:36 PM #1
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Amanda and Jared Christiansen, YOUR Fort Wayne Realtors
Century 21 Bradley (260)704-0843 - Fort Wayne, IN
Century 21 Bradley.

That's a great looking and very thorough Albuquerque real estate market report Rich.  Well done!                                           

Nov 08, 2012 05:16 AM #2
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Kelly Krauth

Great facts that many are not aware of and need to be!  Well done Rich as always!

Nov 08, 2012 06:03 AM #3
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Jenifer De La Garza

It's funny how prices and values continue to decline butm y property taxes regularly go the opposite direction.  Might have to dispute them again in 2013. 

Nov 08, 2012 06:15 AM #4
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Rich Cederberg
eXp Realty - Albuquerque, NM
eXp Realty

Christine, I've heard this from others too.

Jared, I was afraid you were gong to say long-winded. lol.

Kelly Krauth, NM Favorite Lender, thanks for stopping by!

Jenifer, That's not funny at all. Thanks again for your tip about turning off the suggested videos at the end of my YouTube videos.

Nov 08, 2012 06:33 AM #5
Rainmaker
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Cherise Selley
Selley Group Real Estate, LLC - Colorado Springs, CO
Colorado Springs Realtor

Rich,

Your time for tapering off of home sales shows some great numbers for October.  I think many areas are experiencing this unexpected trend... g

Nov 08, 2012 09:05 AM #6
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Rich Cederberg

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