Groundhog Day prediction 2014 - Long winter??

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Contractor with Floor Coverings International Westchester NY & Stamford CT WC19920-H07 HIC619252

groundhogs day 2014 predictionWhat is Punxsutawney Phil's prediction for 2014?  Apparently, it's long winter.  But, is his prediction bad news or good news?

 

You can read more about Punxatawney Phil on the official Groundhog Day website.  This has all sorts of info on the history of Groundhog's day as well as a schedule of events.

 

Of course, what's missing here is the historic predictions vs. historic accuracy.  The site claims that Phil is 100% accurate.  Hmmm.  Interesting. 

 

Well according to Stormfax.com, the world's most famous Groundhog is only 39% accurate!  Wow, that's worse than what a coin toss would predict.

 

Historically, Phil has predicted an early spring less than 15% of the time.  So, it's more likely for him to see his shadow and predict a long winter.  But, maybe I should hope that he predicts a long winter...since he is only 39% accurate.  Maybe my hopes of an early spring will come true.

 

I also wonder if the other groundhog predictors across the country agree w/ Phil's prediction.  I mean surely the weather conditions across the country will differ and hence the ability to see a shadow can vary.

 

BTW, the Farmer's Almanac accuracy is about the same.  It kind of makes you wonder why we place so much emphasis on this.  Predicting long term weather is kind of futile. 

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Debbie Gartner - Westchester Hardwood Flooring

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debbie Gartner, "The Flooring Girl" and owner of Floor Coverings International Westchester NY

 

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Rainmaker
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Debbie Gartner
The Flooring Girl - Westchester hardwood flooring
Floor Coverings International Westchester NY & Stamford CT

I hope you're right, Joanna.

February 02, 2014 04:09 PM
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George Souto
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages Connecticut

Debbie as bad as Punxsutawney Phil and the Farmers Almanac is on predicting the weather, they have a far better percentage that those experts that keep on predicting what the interest rates are going to do.

February 02, 2014 05:11 PM
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Jane Chaulklin-Schott
TeamConnect Luxury Homes - Orlando, Florida, 32836
TEAMCONNECT REALTY - (407) 394-9766

Gee whiz, I just wanted to hear good news on the groundhog and his prediction. I did not care if they lied to us - I just wanted to hear: SPRING IS COMING SOONER THAN EXPECTED. 

February 02, 2014 05:56 PM
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Debbie Reynolds
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Well I will be counting the days until spring. And he better not be worng and it be longer. Have a good week.

February 02, 2014 08:10 PM
Rainmaker
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Debbie Gartner
The Flooring Girl - Westchester hardwood flooring
Floor Coverings International Westchester NY & Stamford CT

George - LOL, that may be true.

Jane - Oh, I so want spring.

Debbie - Yes, I'm counting them down, too.

February 24, 2014 06:05 PM
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Author Bio: My name is Debbie Gartner, and I'm known as "The Flooring Girl." I own my own flooring store that serves Westchester NY and Fairfield CT counties. We install hardwood flooring, carpet, tile flooring, laminate, bamboo and cork flooring. We also refinish hardwood floors. We are a shop at home flooring store. You can call us at 914-937-2950 to schedule a free flooring consultation


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